Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.863073 0.971889 1.090506 1.229625 1.388598 1.564912 1.775714
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.680778 0.824162 0.993382 1.208738 1.476803 1.801152 2.225837
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.601740 0.763970 0.965760 1.237015 1.594854 2.054558 2.695923
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.528275 0.696663 0.915129 1.222112 1.646783 2.220010 3.063319
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.481044 0.655591 0.890498 1.233668 1.728746 2.427127 3.504780
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.434123 0.608683 0.851184 1.217666 1.766232 2.570858 3.866505
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.397501 0.571855 0.821155 1.209778 1.811559 2.726725 4.260195
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.354659 0.521644 0.766429 1.158426 1.783682 2.765228 4.468874
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.335477 0.504649 0.759005 1.177708 1.866233 2.983206 4.994371
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.319220 0.490454 0.754139 1.199686 1.953946 3.216709 5.572340
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.301805 0.472818 0.742042 1.208110 2.018778 3.416659 6.113006
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.284684 0.454165 0.726539 1.208909 2.069640 3.595975 6.635474
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.270800 0.440103 0.717996 1.221791 2.144794 3.829826 7.299029
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.251441 0.415453 0.689790 1.197690 2.150614 3.936675 7.727237
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.242864 0.408430 0.691015 1.226127 2.256219 4.242845 8.601118
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.228119 0.389533 0.669892 1.211312 2.277187 4.384991 9.146375
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.218654 0.379240 0.663204 1.222763 2.350149 4.638287 9.967142
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.206057 0.362392 0.643294 1.206916 2.366377 4.775498 10.543738
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.195583 0.348704 0.628198 1.199105 2.398065 4.948192 11.225856
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.180366 0.325206 0.593036 1.148251 2.334390 4.906801 11.387936
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.175004 0.319947 0.592305 1.167347 2.422319 5.211023 12.444938
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.170272 0.315558 0.592894 1.189111 2.518022 5.543221 13.622381
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.164301 0.308354 0.587394 1.197452 2.584302 5.813849 14.679152